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Friday evening forecast – Nov. 15th

An area of low pressure off the California coast brought cool conditions and cloudy skies Friday. Higher pressure with moderate offshore flow will bring sunnier skies and a warming trend through the weekend. There is a possibility of rain by mid-week.

Saturday is a day of big change.  We will see more sunshine, temperatures will increase and we will also see strong offshore winds.

Expecting peak wind gusts in the Santa Ana wind prone areas of Ventura County to range from 25-35 mph along the coast and valleys and up to 50 mph in the mountains and foothills. Sunday remains as the gustiest and driest day for this event. For temperatures, expect a 10-20 degree warmup along coastal and valley zones on Saturday compared to Friday's temps.

Some additional warming on Sunday will result in a smattering of record highs with 80s and even low 90s forecast for coastal and valley areas. Gradients weaken some on Monday and temps and winds decrease across coastal and valley areas as a result, however conditions will remain dry.

Critical fire danger will be the primary concern, especially Sunday, and even elevated levels are likely on Monday due to residual dry conditions. A Fire Weather Watch is in effect 1AM Sunday through 6PM that evening for all of Ventura County. 

A High Surf Advisory is in effect for the Central Coast until 10AM Sunday as surf gets up to 12'.  A Beach Hazards statement is in effect for the South Coast and Ventura County until 3PM Sunday where surf will be up to 7 ft.

Tuesday will be a transition day as temperatures are still warm but start to fall.

Wednesday we get our chance of rain primarily in Ventura County and possible in southern Santa Barbara County.  It is still too far out to get a good perspective on if the rain will materialize but if we do get it amounts should not exceed 0.25".  Everyone will see more cloud cover come on Wednesday with temperatures dropping several degrees, below average primarily in the mid 60s.

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Kelsey Gerckens

Kelsey Gerckens is chief meteorologist for News Channel 3-12. To learn more about Kelsey, click here.


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